NASA moonwalker, and Harvard PhD says what many have thought

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Feb 16, 2009 08:19:39
GT caretaker

I know we have had lots of discussions about global warming on this board...and there are some very smart people here, who come from very different perspectives.

I found it compelling that this guy is pointing out what many have already said...that the human caused global warming proponents are using their theory to mold political and social realities...based on erroneous causal conclusions.

The cost we all will pay from this perspective will be greater than the "cost" of global warming itself (which we could NOT control, even if we wanted to).

http://news.bostonherald.com/news/national/general/view/2009_02_15_Former_astronaut_speaks_out_on_global_warming/srvc=home&position=recent

Tony

Feb 16, 2009 09:03:07
don4975



Mars is warming also. Must be because of Martian CO2 emmissions.





Feb 16, 2009 09:47:06
auctionwatch

Quote: "Mars is warming also. Must be because of Martian CO2 emmissions."

This is incorrect.

Feb 16, 2009 10:23:47
olparatrooper

But...Al Gore says it is true!

Feb 16, 2009 10:25:50
JNickell

Be very careful Anthony...on this subject dissent is not tolerated.

BTW, can someone explain to me why the CO2 "green house roof," which is rather porus at just .04% of the atmosphere, only radiates captured heat toward the surface and not into space? See, I'm thinking that radiant heat from the sun hitting a CO2 molecule would radiate captured heat across a 180 degree spectrum up back into space and across a 180 degree spectrum down to the surface. And on the rebound when surface heat is radiated back into the atmosphere and absorbed by CO2, why does it only radiate back down to the surface? Are there some physical principals of atmospheric gases that I'm missing?

And another....when ever we have a cooling trend of either a season, a year or a few years....the IPCC types tell us (correctly I believe) "you can't judge long term climate change based on short term weather." BUT, whenever we have a few hotter than average years, a few big hurricanes, an unusual drought, or even a levy failure, it is 100% attributed as proof of man-made global warming.

Feb 16, 2009 11:39:54
LaVerne

Forget Al Gore.
Read " With Speed and Violence" By Fred Pearce and get back to me with your thoughts.

Feb 16, 2009 12:16:05
Derek up North

Quote: "
Buying a Prius and locally grown foods may convince you that you’re reducing your carbon footprint, but for Fred Pearce in With Speed and Violence, the damage may already be done. The planet’s carbon load is high enough that we may already be careening towards a tipping point, a moment when the climate changes suddenly, “with speed and violence.” Any way it goes is bad for humans (biology is fragile, and culture especially so), but hot looks especially pernicious.

"


http://www.curledup.com/wspeedvi.htm

Feb 16, 2009 12:36:26
GT caretaker

FEAR sells. With FEAR, people can make lots of money (Al Gore, scientists looking for grants, producers seeking to sell advertising)...and people can make societal/political changes with it (how else did the "stimulus package" get through).

FEAR sells.

Truth becomes irrelevant.

Feb 16, 2009 12:44:09
Rod H.

GT caretaker Wrote:

Quote: "
FEAR sells. With FEAR, people can make lots of money (Al Gore, scientists looking for grants, producers seeking to sell advertising)...and people can make societal/political changes with it (how else did the "stimulus package" get through).
FEAR sells.
Truth becomes irrelevant.
"


You may find "The Power of Nightmares" interesting, if you aren't already familiar:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qk1WkmioQvA

It's about how fear is used to manipulate us.

There *are* real concerns in the world though. We need to be able to judge what's real and what isn't, and not just discount everything that is scary as a hoax.

Feb 16, 2009 13:43:08
Gerry

Fear gets people elected, too.

Feb 16, 2009 13:58:25
Steve64B

GT caretaker Wrote:

Quote: "
I know we have had lots of discussions about global warming on this board...and there are some very smart people here, who come from very different perspectives.
I found it compelling that this guy is pointing out what many have already said...that the human caused global warming proponents are using their theory to mold political and social realities...based on erroneous causal conclusions.
The cost we all will pay from this perspective will be greater than the "cost" of global warming itself (which we could NOT control, even if we wanted to).
http://news.bostonherald.com/news/national/general/view/2009_02_15_Former_astronaut_speaks_out_on_global_warming/srvc=home&position=recent
Tony
"



There is room to agree or disagree... but the use of the term "casual conclusions" is innacurate. A lot of serious people have done some serious work on the subject. None of the conclusions were arrived at casually.

Feb 16, 2009 14:12:25
auctionwatch

Quote: "
You may find "The Power of Nightmares" interesting, if you aren't already familiar:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qk1WkmioQvA

It's about how fear is used to manipulate us. "

That's very interesting - I'm not sure how I managed to miss that series. Though when watching something like this, I do tend to have my salt shaker handy... funnily enough, exactly as I do when people suggest global warming is being utilised to further a liberal agenda.

I find the rise of the modern American ideal fascinating. When and how did the Goodies vs Baddies American ideal arise? Back during the War, people were quite happy to be isolationist until America itself was attacked... when did it change and how? I guess it was when the Ruskies started throwing their weight around..?

Feb 16, 2009 14:15:23
auctionwatch

Steve... speed reader... can I casually throw in here that Tony was talking about causal, not casual connections! As in cause and effect...

Feb 16, 2009 14:30:30
Tigerhawk

Gerry Wrote:

Quote: "
Fear gets people elected, too.
"


Worked for "W" didn't it?

Feb 16, 2009 15:05:45
GT caretaker

auctionwatch Wrote:

Quote: "
Steve... speed reader... can I casually throw in here that Tony was talking about causal, not casual connections! As in cause and effect...
"


Whoops...Steve, you are correct! Steve O., I get the distinct sense that many of our members who have tended to agree with human caused global climate change DO seem to be well-read and thoughtful...a far cry from CASUAL conclusions. I apologize for implying such a thing (though unintentional) through my typo.

My effort was to highlight the tendency for many to use correlational data as a basis for attributional (e.g., CAUSAL) perspectives.

So...please accept my apology for the typo implications! There is certainly room to agree/disagree here.

Tony

Feb 16, 2009 15:10:28
GT caretaker

Hey...wait a minute...I DID type it correctly as "causal" rather than "casual." Steve O....you rat...I felt terrible, until I realized that you sir...are dyslexic! :-)

As I have said before...this is one of the few forums where I find people (mostly) open to good dialog, and I have tried to avoid making derisive personal comments...that's why I was worried about making such an error. I have much respect for our members here, and do not want to undermine our discussions/arguments by bringing in personal attacks.

Anyway...here is a great photo of me from 20 years ago...I hope this lightens the mood. I admit that I don't look quite as good as I did then, but I at least still have a neat red hat:

Feb 16, 2009 15:11:20
Steve64B

I before E except after C... as soon as I get my left eye uncrossed I'll check back with you guys!

Feb 16, 2009 16:16:16
Gerry

Tigerhawk Wrote:

Quote: "
Gerry Wrote:Quote:
Fear gets people elected, too.
Worked for "W" didn't it?
"


Worked for "o" too

Feb 16, 2009 16:20:07
Tigerhawk

Gerry Wrote:

Quote: "
Tigerhawk Wrote:Quote:
Gerry Wrote:Quote:
Fear gets people elected, too.
Worked for "W" didn't it?
Worked for "o" too
"


Yeah, you're right. Except now we really have something to fear.

Feb 16, 2009 17:10:44
GT caretaker

Tigerhawk Wrote:

Quote: "
Gerry Wrote:Quote:
Fear gets people elected, too.
Worked for "W" didn't it?
"


How did fear get GWB elected Jeff?

Feb 16, 2009 18:14:12
Rod H.

auctionwatch Wrote:

Quote: "
Quote:
You may find "The Power of Nightmares" interesting, if you aren't already familiar:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qk1WkmioQvA
It's about how fear is used to manipulate us.
That's very interesting - I'm not sure how I managed to miss that series. Though when watching something like this, I do tend to have my salt shaker handy... funnily enough, exactly as I do when people suggest global warming is being utilised to further a liberal agenda.
I find the rise of the modern American ideal fascinating. When and how did the Goodies vs Baddies American ideal arise? Back during the War, people were quite happy to be isolationist until America itself was attacked... when did it change and how? I guess it was when the Ruskies started throwing their weight around..?
"


Have you seen the other Adam Curtis documentaries then? My favorite was "The Century of the Self", which I found more compelling (and perhaps more believable) than "The Trap". I think this was becausee "The Trap" seemed to be more political...and so I see your point about taking it with a grain of salt. Healthy skepticism is always good!

Feb 16, 2009 19:07:33
wyatt


"That's very interesting - I'm not sure how I managed to miss that series. Though when watching something like this, I do tend to have my salt shaker handy... funnily enough, exactly as I do when people suggest global warming is being utilised to further a liberal agenda."


Feb 17, 2009 01:22:06
auctionwatch

Quote: "
Have you seen the other Adam Curtis documentaries then? My favorite was "The Century of the Self", which I found more compelling (and perhaps more believable) than "The Trap". I think this was becausee "The Trap" seemed to be more political...and so I see your point about taking it with a grain of salt. Healthy skepticism is always good!"

Thanks - I will track them down and watch them, Rod. I've never been able to buy into theories about shadowy groups (such as the Neocons in the doc) doing things to secretly further their political control over the nation/world. It's easy to see things that aren't there, because documents or records of conversations rarely surface to support the existence of these agendas.

That said, Rumsfeld's comments about Russia were spookily reminiscent of Bush's unfounded WMD rhetoric about Iraq.

Feb 17, 2009 04:28:04
CraigFL

I'm no expert on "global warming" but I would like to know for those who are, how do they explain where all the heat from the 5000 to 7000 degrees K earth center temperature goes?? Or point me to an article where this is explained??

Feb 17, 2009 06:07:36
Tigerhawk

GT caretaker Wrote:

Quote: "
Tigerhawk Wrote:Quote:
Gerry Wrote:Quote:
Fear gets people elected, too.
Worked for "W" didn't it?
How did fear get GWB elected Jeff?
"


Saddam Hussein and the WMDs.

Feb 17, 2009 06:28:32
Steve64B

CraigFL Wrote:

Quote: "
I'm no expert on "global warming" but I would like to know for those who are, how do they explain where all the heat from the 5000 to 7000 degrees K earth center temperature goes?? Or point me to an article where this is explained??
"


http://www.thesalmons.org/lynn/pit.html

Someone forgot their boy scout training!

Feb 17, 2009 06:29:17
Rictus

GT caretaker Wrote:

Quote: "
FEAR sells. With FEAR, people can make lots of money (Al Gore, scientists looking for grants, producers seeking to sell advertising)...and people can make societal/political changes with it (how else did the "stimulus package" get through).
FEAR sells.
Truth becomes irrelevant.
"


Actually, what happens happens. What be believe is irrelevant. How we act is relevant.

And you're right about fear selling. The NRA and small arms manufacturers are a testament to that.

Mr. Gore did lay down one very interesting challenge. Can anyone produce a single peer-reviewed study contradicting. Anthroppgenic global warming?

Feb 17, 2009 06:42:26
wyatt

............fear.....FDR........promoted it while denouncing it...the original fear monger......

Feb 17, 2009 06:43:59
Rictus

JNickell Wrote:

Quote: "
Be very careful Anthony...on this subject dissent is not tolerated.
BTW, can someone explain to me why the CO2 "green house roof," which is rather porus at just .04% of the atmosphere, only radiates captured heat toward the surface and not into space? See, I'm thinking that radiant heat from the sun hitting a CO2 molecule would radiate captured heat across a 180 degree spectrum up back into space and across a 180 degree spectrum down to the surface. And on the rebound when surface heat is radiated back into the atmosphere and absorbed by CO2, why does it only radiate back down to the surface? Are there some physical principals of atmospheric gases that I'm missing?
And another....when ever we have a cooling trend of either a season, a year or a few years....the IPCC types tell us (correctly I believe) "you can't judge long term climate change based on short term weather." BUT, whenever we have a few hotter than average years, a few big hurricanes, an unusual drought, or even a levy failure, it is 100% attributed as proof of man-made global warming.
"



Of course dissent is tolerated, don't be silly, has this thread been taken down?

On your radiation point, nobody has ever said it radiates only back to the surface, but what is outside the atmosphere is a much larger space to heat than inside the atmosphere, so it will warm more inside the atmosphere, while the incalculably vast void of space will not warm not quite so much.

On your last point, Not by the IPCC. I think it's perceptual on your part, like some people believing that plane crashes happen in threes, you count the hits and ignore the misses, and conflate the words of Some news guy on MSNBC with the IPCC.

Here's some info from NASA
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/

Feb 17, 2009 06:53:37
auctionwatch

People using short-term weather conditions as evidence for long-term trends need to be called out whenever they do so. As I've said before, both "sides" do it, and they need to be made aware that it's entirely fallacious.

Feb 17, 2009 07:13:29
PeterC

I need to be educated on what the down-side of using less resources is.

If the arguments claiming there is global warming are wrong, what problems does that cause.

But, if they are correct, ignoring it could be disastrous, no?


Peter

Feb 17, 2009 07:29:08
wyatt

..........Europe circa 750.........

Feb 17, 2009 08:19:50
PeterC

wyatt Wrote:

Quote: "
..........Europe circa 750.........
"


.... eh?....

Feb 17, 2009 08:47:20
JNickell

Peter, there is very little doubt that the earth's climate is trending warmer. The points in contention are how much warmer and what is the cause. The follow-up questions are - do possess the ability to change the climate, and would our resourses be better spend adapting to warmer climate?

Some of us challenge Al Gore's statement that "the debate is over." There are hundreds of climatologists and thousands of scientists who dispute the conclusion of the IPCC. Many former IPCC contributors now oppose the theories the IPCC floats in its assessments. The mainstream media labels them "global warming deniers" to equate them with "holocaust deniers" and thereby devalue their work. Some posters here label those of us who question GW as "flat earthers" meaning we also don't accept that the earth is round. I suppose name-calling is easier than intelligent debate.



Feb 17, 2009 08:56:29
hpmowog

Following up to what Jay said, even if there is anthropogenic global warming going on, is the cure worse than the problem? Some of the proposed solutions are draconian and would require absolute coercive government power on a global scale in order to be implemented.

Feb 17, 2009 08:59:34
wyatt

....again.... as has been posted...........
"That's very interesting - I'm not sure how I managed to miss that series. Though when watching something like this, I do tend to have my salt shaker handy... funnily enough, exactly as I do when people suggest global warming is being utilised to further a liberal agenda."

Feb 17, 2009 09:11:22
JNickell

I don't know if "liberal agenda" is an accurate discriptive....but the Kyoto program of cap and trade basically requires the developed world (Europe, US & Canada) to pay the developing world (Africa, China, India) for any carbon emission which exceed their 1990 levels of carbon output through 2007, and which exceed 1990 levels with an average 7-8% reduction for 2008-1212.

So European businesses who produce carbon emissions above the 1990 cap just send cash payments to China to "off-set" those emissions. The Chinese must think we are silly, silly people....and it's hard to argue with them.

Feb 17, 2009 09:15:02
wyatt

....Koyoto was written and concieved when the USA was NOT financially crashing.....it was nothing more than an attempt to destroy our place in the sun..........

but forget the treaty alltogether......I have/had the green maifesto from the late 80's maybe earlier.....it cares little for the enviro, it is all about controlling the weather, the ultimate power goal....so if not actually the weather, then peoples minds about the weather....virtually the same difference. It truely is the chicken little agenda.

Feb 17, 2009 09:22:13
Rod H.

Although I claim to be a liberal, my gut reaction has always been to be very conservative when it comes to mucking up the environment.

Some Republicans agree with this:

http://www.repamerica.org/AboutREP/philosophy.html

Feb 17, 2009 09:28:03
wyatt

.......PeterC....resources......to not use them efficently is economically foolish and makes us poorer, money and time is a resource also............. as in the stupidity of the church in 750+or- that whole post Roman era for western civ....just look where the Arab civ was going at the same time.

Feb 18, 2009 01:35:18
Soyokaze 72MGB

How about we stop using imported oil because it wrecks our economy and supports people we don't like?

Likewise, our use of coal for electrical power is trashing our lands producing costs that are not factored into current electric bills.

We can fix this, we have the technology.

Feb 18, 2009 05:17:51
showroomgarage

Soyokaze 72MGB Wrote:

Quote: "
How about we stop using imported oil because it wrecks our economy and supports people we don't like?
Likewise, our use of coal for electrical power is trashing our lands producing costs that are not factored into current electric bills.
We can fix this, we have the technology.
"


Let us know when the wind powered cars are available. It's sad that Boone Pickens idea has faded into oblivion since this price of oil has fallen. It's the only plan that makes any sense, at least to me. I would love for us not to import oil but we need to be using our own oil and natural gas resources while other technologies are developed because most are not viable on a large scale yet. As usual in this country, there is no middle ground and the green zealots are determined to have their way.

Feb 18, 2009 06:03:45
Soyokaze 72MGB

showroomgarage Wrote:

Quote: "
Let us know when the wind powered cars are available.

"


Here is a wind powered car.

Again, take any technical problem with going green and somebody has probably come up with a good solution. No need for doom and gloom. Wish we still had Don Herbert to explain these sorts of things.

----------------------------------------------------------
Tata OneCAT

OneCAT is an upcoming compressed air car. India's Tata Motors is collaborating with Air engine developer Guy Nègre of MDI to produce the vehicle.

The vehicle contains air tanks that can be filled in four hours by plugging the car into a standard electrical plug. MDI also plans to design a gas station compressor, which would fill the tanks in three minutes.

The OneCAT is a five seat vehicle with a 200 liter trunk. With full tanks it will run at 100 km/h (62 mph) for 90-kilometre (56 mi) range in urban cycle.

It will be priced in a range ($5,100 to $7,800 US) within reach of consumers in a developing economy. The production of another CAT car for local markets might begin early 2009 in Spain and Australia.


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tata_OneCAT


Feb 18, 2009 06:10:03
showroomgarage

Now if someone could figure out how to harness the Washington wind..........

Feb 18, 2009 06:18:00
wyatt

...thats CNG........

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